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Re: Artest to sign with the Lakers
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gold_leader64
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Re: Artest to sign with the Lakers - 07-04-2009, 12:48 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chronz View Post
Kevin Pelton's thought on the switch

http://www.basketballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=273
The worst thing that can happen in the triangle is for the ball to stop in one place. That’s justified for Bryant, but not for Artest. Optimistically, Bryant and Phil Jackson will be able to keep Artest’s worst tendencies in check, but pessimistically he could work against much of what the Lakers are trying to do on offense.

The success of the Los Angeles Lakers’ signing of Ron Artest, first reported in a major coup by CBSSportsline.com’s Ken Berger, all comes down to possessions. As in, will Artest be willing and able to use fewer of them? Artest was essentially dealt for incumbent small forward Trevor Ariza, which may be formalized if Ariza ends up signing with the Rockets to replace Artest. Last year, Ariza used 16.7 percent of the Lakers’ possessions while on the floor. Artest used 24.7 percent of Houston’s possessions, and has been over 23 percent every year since 2002-03.

If Artest plays to his tendencies, it’s hard to see where those possessions would come from, especially when he is on the floor alongside the high-possession Bryant. I’m of the belief that possession usage is in many ways as much a skill as anything else, not something that can be largely dictated by coaches. Using a ton of possessions is in Artest’s DNA just as much as physical defense or crazy quotes.

This would be OK if Artest was more efficient with said possessions, but his 51.2 percent True Shooting is well below average (and below Ariza’s 54.4 percent mark from last season, which he upped in the playoffs when he improbably developed into a lights-out three-point shooter). The Lakers are trading more efficient possessions from Ariza and other players for less efficient ones.
Wait...what?

"That’s justified for Bryant, but not for Artest. "

Kobe has a considerable amount of poor shooting nights, but he takes far more and it has a larger impact on the game. When he shoots 8-27, it hurts more than a 3-13 effort. I don't see what the big deal is. The difference is Ron isn't going to jack up 20-30 shots at 30-40%. Gasol, the second option last season, only got 13 FGA per game, and that was with the Lakers ignoring him in the offense. So I doubt Ron gets 13+ FG's per game. If Andy is healthy, and Odom returns, the touches will balance out and I doubt Artest will have that many opportunities to screw up the offense. Phil won't let that happen.



"Until you take that last breath, you fight." - Wayman Tisdale 1964 - 2009

Last edited by gold_leader64; 07-04-2009 at 12:51 PM..
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